The Illusion of Strategy

The misguided notion that Donald Trump is a masterful negotiator and businessman stems from his own self-promotional book, “The Art of the Deal,” which was actually ghostwritten by journalist Tony Schwartz. Mr.Schwartz spent 18 months embedded with Donald Trump in order to write the book, which would go on to create a powerful, albeit entirely fictional, myth around Trump’s business acumen. In writing his book, the ghostwriter took a man who was naturally aggressive, easily bored and hyper-reactive, and packaged those traits as an inspirational example for mass-marketing. Schwartz applies the vocabulary of a structured, strategic business approach to what was essentially impulsive, erratic, and slightly nutty behavior. Mr. Schwartz has since spoken extensively about the writing process — his account strongly supports the idea that Trump’s unpredictability in business negotiations is the result of a short attention span and extreme self-absorption, rather than calculated genius. Continue reading

 

We’ve been fighting World War III for decades …you just didn’t know it

Historians often take fifty years or so after a major event such as the fall of a civilization or beginning of a world war to pinpoint the exact moment that precipitated the landmark event, e.g., it took until the end of World War II for historians to isolate an obscure assassination in Serbia as the event that touched off World War I. Twenty-five years from now, historians will probably single out the Russian invasion of Crimea in 2014 as the root cause event igniting World War III. Personally, I would make that date much earlier.

I am convinced that we Americans are already in the middle of a fight for our very survival: What historians in the future may well call “World War III,” assuming it engulfs Europe and spreads into the Indo-Pacific, as I suspect it will. Why do I believe this?    Continue reading